📊 HUD Stats

VPIP
10-18%
Normal: 20-28%
PFR
8-15%
Normal: 16-22%
3bet%
< 3%
Normal: 6-9%
Fold 3bet
70-85%
Normal: 55-65%
WTSD
18-24%
Normal: 24-28%
How to Identify
  • Folds for long stretches, plays very infrequently
  • When they do play, their range is extremely narrow
  • Folds to 3-bets almost 100% (except premiums)
  • Prefers raising over calling (though rarely)
  • Easily gives up blinds

🔍 Weaknesses & Strengths

Nit Weaknesses
  • Very high fold equity
  • Rarely defends blinds
  • Folds to 3-bets almost always
  • Gives up many pots preflop
  • Range is highly readable postflop
Where Nits Are Strong
  • When they enter, they usually have it
  • Their raises/3-bets are nearly always the nuts
  • Hard to bluff them off a hand
  • Only continue postflop with strong holdings
  • High showdown win rate

⚔️ Exploit Strategy

Core Approach: Steal and Exploit Fold Equity

Nits bleed small pots (blinds) by folding constantly. Attack from BTN/CO/SB with aggressive steals. They fold to raises and 3-bets most of the time, so bluffs have high value.

  • Wide blind steals: Open wide from BTN/CO/SB vs nit BB/SB. Exploit their high fold rate
  • 3-bet bluffs work: 3-bet bluff nit opens. With Fold to 3-bet 70%+, go for it
  • Wide calls with position: Call their opens wide if you have position (readable range)
  • Respect 4-bets: A nit's 4-bet is almost AA/KK — fold is usually correct
  • Float often: Call nit c-bet on flop, then apply pressure on the turn when they check
  • C-bets work: Nits fold frequently on the flop when they miss
  • Their range is transparent: Nit betting turn/river = strong hand. Consider folding
  • Respect check-raises: A nit's check-raise = near nuts. Fold immediately
  • Entry = strong hand: Assume 88+, AJ+ when a nit plays
  • Open raise = premium: Nit's open is TT+, AQ+. Their 3-bet/4-bet is AA/KK only
  • Call = speculative: Nits call with 55-77 for set mining, suited connectors, etc.
  • Flop call: Nit calling the flop = strong draw or weak made hand only

🎯 Nit Counter — Steal Range

Steal range from BTN/CO vs nit's BB. High fold equity allows very wide opening.

Steal Range Notes
  • If nit's Fold to Steal is 75%+, even a 2BB open is EV+
  • Ace-high hands gain extra EV from blocker effects
  • Attack wide as long as you have position

🎮 Cash vs Tournament

Cash Game
  • Nits are long-term losers — consistently steal their blinds
  • Use HUD to track Fold to Steal, Fold to 3-bet, and exploit accordingly
  • Understand their calling range to extract postflop profit
Tournament
  • Near the bubble, nits get even tighter — ICM-aware steals are highly effective
  • Nits are extremely ICM-sensitive — push/shove forces frequent folds
  • But their 4-bets and all-ins are very strong — proceed with caution

⚠️ Common Mistakes

What NOT to Do
  • Being too respectful: Exploit the fact that they don't play by attacking aggressively
  • Calling their 4-bets: A nit's 4-bet is almost AA/KK — calling AQ or JJ is a mistake
  • Over-bluffing when they enter: When a nit enters, they have a hand — don't bluff excessively
  • Skipping steals: Fold equity vs nits is at its peak — exploit it constantly